Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 8.498589 9.722508 11.074629 12.681514 14.542184 16.632575 19.164140
2025-07-27 7.052575 8.686441 10.639364 13.154753 16.321935 20.194706 25.315477
2025-08-03 5.880927 7.631178 9.843513 12.862392 16.901364 22.155958 29.570685
2025-08-10 5.094140 6.895022 9.277044 12.684721 17.477763 24.042875 33.825903
2025-08-17 4.498222 6.312022 8.806361 12.523290 17.983588 25.807159 38.039318
2025-08-24 4.011143 5.810142 8.370638 12.326920 18.368897 27.383251 42.103155
2025-08-31 3.597478 5.361527 7.951101 12.085541 18.626274 28.751991 45.960398
2025-09-07 3.430325 5.256415 8.019296 12.574662 20.036576 32.019461 53.211929
2025-09-14 3.205275 5.036217 7.883176 12.716399 20.888977 34.461459 59.363641
2025-09-21 2.971982 4.778412 7.658799 12.682705 21.431904 36.424232 64.895266
2025-09-28 2.744839 4.508376 7.386818 12.535400 21.752553 38.018398 69.928918
2025-10-05 2.644847 4.439416 7.439043 12.944403 23.083408 41.527027 78.949424
2025-10-12 2.527086 4.332453 7.421113 13.234951 24.244838 44.882167 88.180559
2025-10-19 2.451165 4.291254 7.512778 13.731235 25.840205 49.230942 99.990710
2025-10-26 2.262759 4.032615 7.192665 13.425101 25.854956 50.495664 105.552179
2025-11-02 2.109827 3.825776 6.948795 13.239053 26.081764 52.198046 112.259293
2025-11-09 1.973507 3.638609 6.725387 13.070019 26.320882 53.942120 119.276115
2025-11-16 1.844939 3.455871 6.495119 12.864411 26.459376 55.480764 126.017781
2025-11-23 1.722083 3.274652 6.253135 12.611691 26.469285 56.735251 132.249351
2025-11-30 1.694596 3.277941 6.373741 13.123810 28.189380 61.968584 148.832035
2025-12-07 1.629454 3.200795 6.326212 13.272225 29.113744 65.491065 161.652631
2025-12-14 1.550450 3.089493 6.199902 13.236943 29.614155 68.074759 172.423978
2025-12-21 1.465908 2.960606 6.027130 13.082700 29.820667 69.974703 181.654389